Even though there is no scientific
evidence to suggest that a war involving Iran, the USA, and Israel
would directly cause mass whale strandings in the Gulf of Oman or
along the Persian Gulf coastlines, that is changing. Certain indirect
consequences of military conflict could increase the risk of such
events. It has been shown in the recent war with Russia and Ukraine
that there have been tens of thousands of dolphins killed, whether from oil
spills or direct percussion from weapons. It is not really known in the West, but Middle East waters are home to Blue Whales, Humpbacks (a long list of cetaceans) and some of the rarest marine wildlife in the world. It is a very delicate and fragile marine environment. Here's a breakdown of the issues at hand:
1. Naval Sonar and
Underwater Explosions
There is a debate about whether whales are sensitive to sound, particularly low-frequency sonar used by military vessels. This has not been proven, and subsequent
scientific research on the matter continues.
Naval activity in
wartime — mid-frequency active sonar placed aside, depth charges,
and underwater explosions can disorient whales, causing them to
surface too quickly or strand themselves.
Previous incidents
(e.g., strandings in the Mediterranean and Bahamas) have been linked
to military exercises, not warfare, but the mechanisms are similar. They did try to blame sonar; however, the probable cause was more likely naval explosions and ship strikes.
2. Shipping Traffic and
Oil Spills
War in the Persian Gulf
would likely increase tanker and naval ship traffic.
Increased noise
pollution and risk of oil spills or chemical contamination could
stress or displace marine life.
Long-term degradation of
habitats could indirectly contribute to strandings or abnormal
behavior.
3. Environmental
Degradation and Pollution
A full-scale conflict
could cause:
Oil fires and leaks
Water contamination
Loss of food sources
(e.g., plankton or fish)
These stressors might
not cause strandings immediately, but they could weaken whales'
health or navigational abilities over time.
4. Historical Precedent
There is no recorded
instance of a military conflict alone causing mass whale strandings
in this specific region. There has been mass strandings recorded in
surrounding countries; however, the cause has never been determined.
Conflicts such
as the Gulf War (1991) did lead to significant environmental damage,
particularly to marine ecosystems.
Summary
A war would not
automatically cause mass whale strandings, but it could create
conditions that increase the likelihood, especially due to:
Underwater explosions
Increased noise
Environmental damage - basically poisoned.
Ship Stikes - mostly caused by uncontrollable and unpredictable ship navigation.
A list of countries that
could be affected is large, including Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman,
Pakistan, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, Iran, and as far
south as Somalia and west to India. The water bodies include the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Oman and the Persian Gulf.
Now that such a conflict has occurred, marine monitoring and environmental safeguards will be
essential to prevent ecological fallout. Lastly, meticulous records are kept of whale strandings in the Middle East, with agencies working hard to protect their environment and ecosystem at large. If there is any uptick in cetacean stranding, it will be shown as an almost direct cause, unless there is a large meteor explosion in the region.